Nigeria vs Jamaica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
15.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2008 |
COL
1 - 0
NGA
57%
25%
18%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
NGA
4 - 1
SLE
73%
19%
9%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
RSA
0 - 1
NGA
30%
30%
40%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
NGA
2 - 0
EQG
87%
10%
3%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
EQG
0 - 1
NGA
16%
25%
59%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Jamaica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
JAM
2 - 0
GRD
89%
9%
2%
|
83 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2008 |
JAM
2 - 0
GLP
82%
13%
5%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
JAM
1 - 1
TTO
50%
24%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
JAM
4 - 0
GRD
90%
9%
2%
|
82 | 49 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2008 |
JAM
2 - 1
BRB
85%
11%
4%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |