Nigeria vs Ethiopia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
10.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1982 |
BFA
2 - 1
NGA
33%
24%
43%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1982 |
TOG
1 - 0
NGA
33%
25%
43%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1981 |
ALG
2 - 1
NGA
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1981 |
NGA
0 - 2
ALG
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1981 |
NGA
3 - 0
LBY
68%
18%
14%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1982 |
ETH
1 - 0
UGA
47%
22%
31%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1982 |
ETH
1 - 2
UGA
49%
22%
29%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1982 |
ETH
0 - 0
TAN
55%
21%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1982 |
ETH
0 - 2
TAN
59%
20%
21%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
ETH
1 - 1
YEM
60%
19%
21%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |