Nigeria vs Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
NGA
4 - 2
TUN
48%
27%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
GAB
0 - 2
NGA
31%
29%
40%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1999 |
GRC
2 - 0
NGA
62%
23%
15%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
NGA
0 - 0
GHA
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1999 |
MOZ
0 - 1
NGA
19%
25%
56%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2000 |
MAR
1 - 0
CGO
75%
17%
9%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1999 |
CGO
0 - 1
COD
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
CGO
2 - 1
TOG
61%
23%
17%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1999 |
CGO
2 - 1
BFA
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
DOM
4 - 2
CGO
31%
26%
43%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |