Nigeria vs Angola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
12.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
NGA
2 - 0
CMR
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
GNB
0 - 1
NGA
10%
19%
72%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
CIV
0 - 1
NGA
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
NGA
1 - 1
EQG
72%
18%
11%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2024 |
GUI
2 - 0
NGA
27%
26%
48%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Angola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ANG
3 - 0
NAM
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
ANG
2 - 0
BFA
35%
28%
37%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
MTN
2 - 3
ANG
33%
28%
39%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2024 |
ALG
1 - 1
ANG
79%
15%
7%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
BHR
0 - 3
ANG
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |