Nepal vs Sri Lanka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
IND
0 - 0
NPL
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
NPL
0 - 0
IND
32%
26%
43%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
IND
2 - 0
NPL
58%
22%
19%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
PHL
3 - 0
NPL
70%
18%
12%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2014 |
IDN
2 - 0
NPL
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sri Lanka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
BTN
2 - 1
LKA
30%
23%
47%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
LKA
0 - 1
BTN
64%
20%
17%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2014 |
BGD
1 - 0
LKA
47%
25%
28%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
BGD
1 - 1
LKA
48%
25%
27%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
SYC
3 - 0
LKA
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |