Nepal vs Sri Lanka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
22.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
NPL
0 - 1
PRK
20%
25%
55%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
AFG
0 - 1
NPL
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
NPL
2 - 1
BTN
76%
15%
9%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
NPL
1 - 0
BTN
77%
15%
9%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
AFG
0 - 3
NPL
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sri Lanka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
LKA
0 - 1
AFG
42%
24%
34%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
PRK
4 - 0
LKA
74%
17%
9%
|
42 | 75 | 33 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
LKA
0 - 2
TJK
25%
24%
51%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
LKA
2 - 2
TJK
25%
24%
52%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
LKA
3 - 0
BGD
45%
26%
29%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |