Nepal vs Macao analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
26.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
NPL
1 - 9
IRQ
5%
13%
83%
|
38 | 86 | 48 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2001 |
NPL
0 - 6
KAZ
10%
19%
72%
|
39 | 73 | 34 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1999 |
NPL
0 - 1
BGD
48%
23%
29%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
NPL
2 - 1
MDV
51%
22%
27%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 1999 |
NPL
0 - 4
IND
38%
23%
39%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Macao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
KAZ
3 - 0
MAC
84%
12%
5%
|
41 | 73 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2001 |
IRQ
8 - 0
MAC
93%
6%
1%
|
41 | 86 | 45 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2000 |
MAC
0 - 1
HKG
35%
23%
42%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2000 |
JPN
3 - 0
MAC
93%
6%
1%
|
41 | 84 | 43 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2000 |
MAC
0 - 1
SGP
14%
22%
64%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | -1 |