Nepal vs Kazakhstan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
71.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1999 |
NPL
0 - 1
BGD
48%
23%
29%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
NPL
2 - 1
MDV
51%
22%
27%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 1999 |
NPL
0 - 4
IND
38%
23%
39%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 1999 |
NPL
3 - 1
PAK
51%
22%
27%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1999 |
MDV
2 - 0
NPL
64%
19%
18%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Kazakhstan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2000 |
PER
5 - 2
KAZ
81%
13%
7%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2000 |
KSA
1 - 0
KAZ
83%
12%
6%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2000 |
KAZ
3 - 2
PLE
77%
16%
8%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2000 |
KAZ
0 - 4
SYR
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2000 |
IRN
3 - 0
KAZ
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |