Nepal vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.5%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.7%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
82.9%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
16.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.4%
0-3
13.9%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
18.2%
0-4
8.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
-4
10.9%
0-5
4.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2001 |
NPL
0 - 6
KAZ
10%
19%
72%
|
38 | 73 | 35 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1999 |
NPL
0 - 1
BGD
48%
23%
29%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
NPL
2 - 1
MDV
51%
22%
27%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1999 |
NPL
0 - 4
IND
38%
23%
39%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 1999 |
NPL
3 - 1
PAK
51%
22%
27%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2001 |
IRQ
8 - 0
MAC
93%
6%
1%
|
86 | 41 | 45 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2001 |
LBN
0 - 0
IRQ
10%
18%
72%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2000 |
JPN
4 - 1
IRQ
45%
23%
31%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2000 |
IRN
1 - 0
IRQ
38%
25%
38%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
LBN
2 - 2
IRQ
9%
18%
73%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |