Nepal vs Laos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
NPL
1 - 0
PAK
49%
25%
26%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
BGD
1 - 3
NPL
36%
26%
38%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
IDN
7 - 0
NPL
83%
12%
5%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
NPL
1 - 4
KWT
8%
19%
74%
|
37 | 67 | 30 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
JOR
2 - 0
NPL
83%
14%
4%
|
37 | 74 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Laos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
MMR
2 - 2
LAO
78%
14%
8%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2022 |
LAO
0 - 2
SGP
6%
16%
78%
|
20 | 49 | 29 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
MAS
5 - 0
LAO
87%
11%
3%
|
20 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
LAO
0 - 6
VIE
4%
12%
85%
|
21 | 66 | 45 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
THA
5 - 0
LAO
77%
15%
9%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | 0 |