Nepal vs Philippines analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
67.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
TJK
3 - 0
NPL
79%
15%
7%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
NPL
1 - 2
TJK
11%
20%
69%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2017 |
NPL
0 - 0
YEM
18%
24%
58%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2017 |
IND
2 - 0
NPL
69%
19%
12%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
PHL
4 - 1
NPL
78%
15%
7%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Philippines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
YEM
1 - 1
PHL
32%
25%
43%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
PHL
2 - 2
YEM
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2017 |
TJK
3 - 4
PHL
50%
24%
27%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2017 |
CHN
8 - 1
PHL
80%
15%
5%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
PHL
4 - 1
NPL
78%
15%
7%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | +1 |