CHAN Qualifying Primera Ronda Final
Global 1-0
Mozambique vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
61.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
MOZ
1 - 1
SEN
9%
20%
72%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
NAM
1 - 0
MOZ
55%
25%
21%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
RSA
0 - 0
MOZ
72%
19%
9%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
BEN
0 - 1
MOZ
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
MOZ
1 - 1
RWA
35%
28%
37%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
NAM
0 - 1
ZAM
29%
26%
45%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
ZAM
4 - 3
SEN
23%
25%
53%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
ZAM
1 - 1
BOT
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
ZAM
2 - 1
COM
77%
15%
8%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
CIV
3 - 1
ZAM
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |