Mozambique vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
49.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
MOZ
1 - 1
BOT
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
MOZ
1 - 3
ZIM
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
COM
0 - 1
MOZ
12%
19%
70%
|
62 | 8 | 54 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
MOZ
0 - 0
LBY
35%
28%
37%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
MOZ
2 - 1
SWZ
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
SWZ
0 - 4
ZAM
13%
22%
66%
|
76 | 47 | 29 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2010 |
KWT
4 - 0
ZAM
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2010 |
ZAM
1 - 2
ETH
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2010 |
ZAM
6 - 0
SOM
80%
14%
6%
|
77 | 37 | 40 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2010 |
ZAM
0 - 0
BDI
76%
17%
8%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | 0 |