Mozambique vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
33.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1996 |
MOZ
1 - 0
ALG
22%
28%
49%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
RSA
3 - 2
MOZ
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1995 |
MOZ
3 - 1
ZIM
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 1994 |
SWZ
0 - 1
MOZ
39%
24%
37%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 1993 |
SEN
6 - 1
MOZ
60%
24%
16%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1996 |
EGY
2 - 1
TUN
64%
22%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1996 |
MAR
3 - 1
TUN
56%
25%
19%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1995 |
ZAM
2 - 0
TUN
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1995 |
TUN
3 - 0
BFA
80%
14%
6%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1995 |
TUN
2 - 1
UKR
59%
22%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |