CAF Qualifying 1ra Ronda Final
Global 5-0
Mozambique vs South Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
29%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
MOZ
1 - 1
ANG
22%
26%
52%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
MOZ
1 - 2
MLI
18%
24%
58%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
NGA
4 - 2
MOZ
81%
14%
6%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
RSA
3 - 1
MOZ
73%
19%
8%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
NAM
0 - 0
MOZ
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2012 |
SSD
2 - 2
UGA
20%
22%
59%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2012 |
GAB
0 - 0
SSD
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SSD
0 - 0
UGA
19%
21%
60%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
CMR
3 - 1
SSD
90%
8%
2%
|
55 | 88 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
ERI
0 - 3
SSD
15%
21%
63%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |