Mozambique vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
64.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
AGO
1 - 1
MOZ
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MOZ
3 - 2
BEN
24%
26%
51%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
MUS
0 - 1
MOZ
7%
17%
76%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
MOZ
0 - 1
LSO
52%
26%
23%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
MOZ
1 - 1
AGO
20%
27%
54%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
SAU
2 - 2
NGA
35%
27%
38%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
NGA
6 - 0
STP
90%
8%
2%
|
83 | 36 | 47 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
SLE
2 - 3
NGA
15%
24%
62%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
GNB
0 - 1
NGA
12%
20%
67%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
NGA
0 - 1
GNB
88%
9%
3%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |