Mozambique vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.7%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
48.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
MOZ
2 - 0
MWI
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
TAN
1 - 0
MOZ
36%
25%
39%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
BOT
0 - 1
MOZ
34%
26%
41%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
MOZ
1 - 1
CIV
20%
25%
56%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
MOZ
3 - 0
SWZ
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
NGA
0 - 0
JAM
62%
23%
16%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2008 |
COL
1 - 0
NGA
57%
25%
18%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
NGA
4 - 1
SLE
73%
19%
9%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
RSA
0 - 1
NGA
30%
30%
40%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
NGA
2 - 0
EQG
87%
10%
3%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |