Mozambique vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
53.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
MAR
4 - 0
MOZ
77%
17%
7%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
RSA
2 - 0
MOZ
73%
19%
8%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
MOZ
2 - 0
MAR
15%
27%
58%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | +2 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
VIE
1 - 0
MOZ
51%
24%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
MOZ
1 - 1
TAN
41%
27%
33%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
SEN
1 - 1
GUI
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
NIG
2 - 0
GUI
22%
25%
53%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
GUI
1 - 0
NIG
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 2
GUI
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
GUI
2 - 3
EGY
21%
28%
51%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | -1 |