Mozambique vs Egypt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
11.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
59.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
17.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
GUI
6 - 1
MOZ
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
MOZ
0 - 0
GUI
22%
25%
53%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
MAR
4 - 0
MOZ
77%
17%
7%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
RSA
2 - 0
MOZ
73%
19%
8%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
MOZ
2 - 0
MAR
15%
27%
58%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | +2 |
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
ZIM
2 - 4
EGY
19%
27%
54%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
EGY
1 - 1
BOT
83%
12%
5%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
EGY
2 - 1
ZIM
79%
14%
7%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
EGY
10 - 0
SWZ
89%
8%
3%
|
87 | 45 | 42 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
QAT
3 - 1
EGY
23%
27%
50%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |