Mozambique vs Ivory Coast analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
55.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
MOZ
3 - 0
SWZ
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2008 |
MAD
1 - 2
MOZ
23%
23%
55%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
BOT
0 - 2
MOZ
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
MOZ
3 - 0
MAD
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
MAD
1 - 1
MOZ
26%
23%
52%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Ivory Coast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
GUI
1 - 2
CIV
29%
28%
42%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
CIV
4 - 0
BOT
77%
16%
7%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
BOT
1 - 1
CIV
17%
25%
58%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
MAD
0 - 0
CIV
5%
16%
79%
|
87 | 51 | 36 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
CIV
1 - 0
MOZ
76%
16%
8%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |