Mozambique vs Benin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
27.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
GAB
2 - 0
MOZ
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2009 |
ZAM
1 - 0
MOZ
55%
25%
21%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
MOZ
0 - 1
MWI
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
MOZ
1 - 0
TUN
22%
27%
51%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
RSA
0 - 1
MOZ
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Benin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
BEN
1 - 0
LBY
36%
27%
37%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
SDN
1 - 2
BEN
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
BEN
1 - 0
GHA
20%
25%
55%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
BEN
1 - 1
MLI
24%
25%
51%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
BEN
1 - 1
GAB
27%
24%
49%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |