WC Qual. Africa Primera Ronda Final
Global 3-0
Mozambique vs Mauritius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
12.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
MUS
0 - 1
MOZ
16%
21%
63%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
MOZ
3 - 2
MAD
28%
26%
46%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
MAD
1 - 0
MOZ
50%
24%
25%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2019 |
MOZ
1 - 1
MWI
38%
29%
34%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2019 |
SYC
0 - 0
MOZ
14%
21%
65%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
MUS
0 - 1
MOZ
16%
21%
63%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
ZIM
3 - 1
MUS
75%
18%
7%
|
41 | 70 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2019 |
MUS
0 - 4
ZIM
10%
18%
72%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2019 |
COM
2 - 1
MUS
26%
25%
49%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
SWZ
2 - 2
MUS
54%
24%
23%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |