Mozambique vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
60.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
SWZ
0 - 3
MOZ
19%
22%
60%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
MOZ
1 - 1
SWZ
59%
24%
18%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
MOZ
2 - 1
GNB
39%
25%
36%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
MLI
1 - 1
MOZ
73%
17%
9%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
COM
2 - 2
MOZ
28%
25%
46%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
GNB
0 - 0
MLI
13%
22%
65%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
MLI
1 - 0
GNB
83%
13%
5%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
SWZ
0 - 1
MLI
10%
20%
70%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
MLI
1 - 1
MOZ
73%
17%
9%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
MAD
0 - 0
MLI
23%
26%
51%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | -1 |