Mozambique vs Malawi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 2
MOZ
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
NIG
1 - 1
MOZ
35%
27%
39%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
MOZ
0 - 1
ZAM
21%
25%
54%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
CPV
1 - 0
MOZ
56%
24%
21%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
MOZ
2 - 0
CPV
28%
28%
45%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2015 |
RSA
2 - 1
MWI
69%
22%
9%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ZAM
2 - 0
MWI
61%
24%
14%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
TAN
1 - 1
MWI
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
ETH
0 - 0
MWI
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
MWI
2 - 0
MLI
23%
25%
53%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |