Mozambique vs Madagascar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
31.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2017 |
SYC
1 - 2
MOZ
11%
20%
69%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2017 |
MOZ
0 - 4
ZIM
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
ZAM
0 - 1
MOZ
57%
25%
18%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
MOZ
1 - 0
LSO
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
MOZ
2 - 0
ANG
25%
26%
50%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2017 |
ZIM
0 - 0
MAD
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2017 |
MAD
2 - 0
SYC
75%
17%
9%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
SDN
1 - 3
MAD
44%
25%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
MWI
0 - 1
MAD
47%
25%
27%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
MAD
1 - 0
MWI
34%
27%
40%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |