Mozambique vs Lesotho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
23.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
MOZ
0 - 2
ALG
9%
21%
70%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 3
MOZ
33%
27%
40%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
MOZ
2 - 3
NGA
13%
23%
65%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
ANG
1 - 1
MOZ
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MOZ
3 - 2
BEN
24%
26%
51%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
LSO
0 - 0
BEN
15%
22%
63%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
NGA
1 - 1
LSO
84%
12%
4%
|
52 | 83 | 31 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
CIV
1 - 0
LSO
81%
13%
6%
|
52 | 84 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
LSO
0 - 1
ZAM
10%
21%
70%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
MWI
1 - 1
LSO
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |