Mozambique vs Lesotho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
22.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
MOZ
1 - 1
ANG
20%
27%
54%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
RWA
0 - 2
MOZ
41%
27%
33%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
MOZ
1 - 1
MWI
41%
29%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
MOZ
0 - 1
SEN
14%
25%
62%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
SEN
5 - 1
MOZ
76%
17%
8%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
MUS
0 - 2
LSO
12%
20%
68%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
LSO
0 - 1
COM
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
TOG
2 - 0
LSO
62%
22%
16%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
LSO
0 - 2
ZAM
13%
21%
66%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
ZAM
3 - 1
LSO
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |