Mozambique vs Lesotho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
MOZ
2 - 0
ANG
25%
26%
50%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
MOZ
1 - 1
RSA
12%
22%
66%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
KEN
1 - 0
MOZ
35%
27%
39%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
TOG
2 - 0
MOZ
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
MOZ
1 - 0
MUS
59%
24%
18%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ALG
6 - 0
LSO
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 79 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2016 |
LSO
2 - 3
ZAM
15%
23%
62%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
RSA
1 - 1
LSO
71%
20%
9%
|
53 | 82 | 29 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
MWI
0 - 1
LSO
58%
23%
20%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2016 |
ANG
0 - 2
LSO
66%
21%
12%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | +2 |