Mozambique vs Botswana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
25.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
MOZ
0 - 0
SWZ
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
RSA
1 - 1
MOZ
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
GUI
0 - 1
MOZ
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
MOZ
2 - 1
SOM
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 30 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
MOZ
2 - 2
GHA
16%
25%
60%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
RSA
0 - 0
BOT
72%
20%
9%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
SWZ
0 - 0
BOT
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
SOM
1 - 3
BOT
15%
22%
64%
|
58 | 30 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
UGA
1 - 0
BOT
55%
26%
20%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
BDI
0 - 0
BOT
39%
27%
33%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |