Mozambique vs Angola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
49.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
MOZ
1 - 1
RSA
12%
22%
66%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
KEN
1 - 0
MOZ
35%
27%
39%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
TOG
2 - 0
MOZ
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
MOZ
1 - 0
MUS
59%
24%
18%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2016 |
NAM
3 - 0
MOZ
37%
27%
37%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Angola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 1
ANG
29%
27%
44%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ANG
1 - 1
MAD
59%
24%
16%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
ANG
0 - 2
MUS
73%
19%
9%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2016 |
ANG
0 - 2
LSO
66%
21%
12%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
MWI
3 - 0
ANG
24%
25%
51%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |