Montenegro vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
58.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montenegro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
AUT
1 - 0
MNE
82%
12%
6%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
LIE
0 - 0
MNE
9%
16%
76%
|
75 | 27 | 48 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
MNE
2 - 0
MDA
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2014 |
MNE
0 - 0
IRN
26%
26%
48%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2014 |
SVK
2 - 0
MNE
76%
15%
9%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
SWE
2 - 0
LIE
87%
10%
3%
|
89 | 27 | 62 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
SWE
1 - 1
RUS
48%
25%
27%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
AUT
1 - 1
SWE
31%
25%
43%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
SWE
2 - 0
EST
83%
13%
5%
|
90 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
SWE
0 - 2
BEL
55%
23%
22%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |