Montenegro vs Iran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
49.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montenegro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
MNE
1 - 2
POL
16%
21%
63%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
ARM
3 - 2
MNE
48%
24%
28%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
DEN
0 - 1
MNE
87%
10%
4%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
MNE
5 - 0
KAZ
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ROU
1 - 1
MNE
85%
11%
4%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
IRN
1 - 0
CHN
64%
21%
15%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
QAT
0 - 1
IRN
32%
27%
41%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
IRN
0 - 1
IRQ
75%
17%
8%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
SYR
0 - 0
IRN
23%
26%
52%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
IRN
8 - 1
PNG
95%
5%
1%
|
87 | 43 | 44 | 0 |