Montenegro vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.8%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
16.9%
77.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
17.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.8%
0-2
18.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
23.8%
0-3
12.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.2%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montenegro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
WAL
2 - 1
MNE
74%
17%
10%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
ALB
3 - 2
MNE
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
MNE
1 - 1
BGR
22%
25%
54%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
MNE
1 - 0
UZB
42%
23%
35%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
MNE
2 - 0
AZE
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
ENG
1 - 0
WAL
82%
13%
5%
|
97 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
BGR
0 - 3
ENG
21%
25%
54%
|
97 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
ENG
2 - 2
SUI
73%
17%
10%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
ENG
1 - 1
GHA
82%
13%
5%
|
97 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
WAL
0 - 2
ENG
15%
24%
61%
|
97 | 86 | 11 | 0 |