Montenegro vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
45.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montenegro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
ISL
2 - 0
MNE
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
MNE
1 - 3
GEO
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 0
MNE
89%
9%
3%
|
75 | 93 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
MNE
1 - 0
MKD
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
MNE
2 - 0
BLR
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
WAL
0 - 0
TUR
34%
26%
40%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
SVK
4 - 0
WAL
43%
27%
30%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
GIB
0 - 0
WAL
9%
19%
72%
|
85 | 38 | 47 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
WAL
0 - 0
POL
30%
25%
46%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
WAL
4 - 1
FIN
53%
25%
22%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |