Montenegro vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
63.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.7%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montenegro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
HUN
3 - 3
MNE
87%
9%
4%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
ROU
4 - 0
MNE
93%
6%
1%
|
69 | 94 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2008 |
MNE
3 - 0
KAZ
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
MNE
3 - 1
NOR
10%
19%
72%
|
65 | 91 | 26 | +3 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
EST
0 - 1
MNE
49%
24%
28%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
BIH
1 - 2
BGR
23%
28%
49%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
BGR
2 - 1
FIN
69%
20%
11%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
NIR
0 - 1
BGR
32%
29%
40%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
SVN
0 - 2
BGR
30%
28%
42%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
BGR
1 - 0
ROU
33%
27%
41%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |