Mongolia vs Sri Lanka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
32.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mongolia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 1
MNG
38%
21%
42%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2016 |
MNP
0 - 8
MNG
4%
12%
84%
|
28 | 6 | 22 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2016 |
0 - 8
MNG
9%
15%
77%
|
29 | 6 | 23 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
MNG
0 - 2
TWN
40%
23%
37%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 2
MNG
30%
23%
47%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sri Lanka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
LKA
1 - 2
LAO
39%
22%
39%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
KHM
4 - 0
LKA
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
NPL
1 - 0
LKA
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2016 |
BGD
4 - 2
LKA
47%
24%
29%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2015 |
AFG
5 - 0
LKA
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |