Mongolia vs Macao analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
20.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mongolia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2009 |
MAC
2 - 0
MNG
42%
22%
36%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
MNP
1 - 4
MNG
2%
9%
89%
|
35 | 6 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 2
MNG
32%
22%
46%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
GUM
1 - 0
MNG
6%
13%
81%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
MNG
1 - 1
GAM
29%
25%
46%
|
34 | 64 | 30 | +2 |
Matches
Macao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2009 |
MAC
2 - 0
MNG
42%
22%
36%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
GUM
2 - 2
MAC
19%
20%
60%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 2
MNG
32%
22%
46%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
MAC
6 - 1
MNP
97%
3%
0%
|
28 | 6 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
MAC
1 - 9
HKG
23%
23%
55%
|
28 | 54 | 26 | 0 |