Mongolia vs Guam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
11.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mongolia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2005 |
PRK
6 - 0
MNG
91%
7%
2%
|
34 | 75 | 41 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
HKG
6 - 0
MNG
84%
11%
5%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
MDV
12 - 0
MNG
66%
17%
17%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
MNG
0 - 1
MDV
52%
21%
28%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2003 |
MNG
0 - 0
BTN
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2005 |
GUM
0 - 15
HKG
5%
14%
81%
|
25 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
TWN
9 - 0
GUM
76%
15%
9%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2003 |
GUM
0 - 5
MNG
22%
23%
55%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
GUM
0 - 6
BTN
31%
25%
44%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
HKG
11 - 0
GUM
87%
10%
4%
|
31 | 56 | 25 | -1 |