Moldova vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
68.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
14%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moldova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
UKR
2 - 1
MDA
81%
14%
5%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
MDA
0 - 1
MNE
31%
26%
44%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
MDA
1 - 3
KAZ
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
SMR
0 - 2
MDA
16%
22%
62%
|
68 | 34 | 34 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
MDA
0 - 0
UKR
16%
26%
59%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
POL
2 - 0
LIE
86%
11%
3%
|
89 | 29 | 60 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
POL
5 - 0
SMR
84%
12%
5%
|
88 | 33 | 55 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
POL
1 - 3
UKR
52%
25%
23%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
IRL
2 - 0
POL
45%
26%
29%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
POL
4 - 1
ROU
43%
26%
31%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | +1 |