Moldova vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
57.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moldova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1997 |
MDA
0 - 1
GEO
47%
24%
29%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1997 |
ENG
4 - 0
MDA
92%
6%
1%
|
68 | 96 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1997 |
GEO
2 - 0
MDA
61%
21%
17%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1997 |
ITA
3 - 0
MDA
92%
6%
1%
|
69 | 96 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1997 |
UKR
1 - 0
MDA
75%
15%
10%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1997 |
POL
2 - 0
LTU
82%
12%
6%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1997 |
POL
1 - 0
HUN
48%
25%
27%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1997 |
POL
4 - 1
GEO
83%
12%
5%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1997 |
POL
0 - 2
ENG
22%
27%
51%
|
86 | 96 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1997 |
SWE
2 - 2
POL
67%
20%
13%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |