Moldova vs Malta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moldova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
ROU
2 - 0
MDA
83%
13%
4%
|
71 | 94 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2006 |
TUR
5 - 0
MDA
80%
15%
5%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
MDA
2 - 2
BIH
39%
25%
37%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
NOR
2 - 0
MDA
76%
18%
6%
|
71 | 92 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
MDA
0 - 1
GRC
19%
28%
53%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Malta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
MLT
1 - 1
AUT
11%
18%
71%
|
55 | 88 | 33 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
MLT
1 - 4
LTU
26%
25%
49%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2006 |
MLT
2 - 1
HUN
13%
20%
67%
|
54 | 86 | 32 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
TUR
2 - 0
MLT
84%
12%
4%
|
54 | 89 | 35 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
MLT
2 - 5
BIH
22%
25%
53%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | -1 |