Moldova vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
52.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moldova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1999 |
TUR
2 - 0
MDA
89%
8%
3%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1999 |
MLT
0 - 2
MDA
27%
25%
49%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1998 |
NIR
2 - 2
MDA
84%
11%
4%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1998 |
MDA
1 - 3
GER
7%
20%
73%
|
67 | 94 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1998 |
FIN
3 - 2
MDA
67%
19%
13%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1999 |
NIR
0 - 3
GER
22%
28%
50%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1998 |
NIR
2 - 2
MDA
84%
11%
4%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1998 |
NIR
1 - 0
FIN
65%
22%
13%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1998 |
TUR
3 - 0
NIR
51%
26%
23%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1998 |
ESP
4 - 1
NIR
80%
15%
5%
|
85 | 96 | 11 | 0 |