Moldova vs Greece analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
52.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
17.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moldova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
MDA
3 - 2
LTU
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2006 |
MDA
0 - 0
AZE
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2006 |
MDA
5 - 1
GEO
39%
24%
37%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
MLT
0 - 2
MDA
36%
25%
40%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2005 |
ITA
2 - 1
MDA
92%
7%
1%
|
69 | 98 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
ENG
4 - 0
GRC
75%
17%
8%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2006 |
AUS
1 - 0
GRC
42%
29%
29%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
GRC
2 - 0
KAZ
88%
10%
3%
|
90 | 67 | 23 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2006 |
GRC
1 - 0
BLR
70%
20%
10%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2006 |
KSA
1 - 1
GRC
36%
29%
35%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |