Moldova vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
50.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moldova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1995 |
ALB
3 - 0
MDA
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1994 |
MDA
0 - 3
GER
18%
25%
57%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1994 |
BGR
4 - 1
MDA
86%
10%
4%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1994 |
MDA
3 - 2
WAL
29%
27%
44%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1994 |
GEO
0 - 1
MDA
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1995 |
MKD
0 - 0
BGR
23%
24%
53%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1995 |
BGR
3 - 1
WAL
59%
24%
18%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1995 |
ARG
4 - 1
BGR
62%
23%
15%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1994 |
WAL
0 - 3
BGR
42%
28%
30%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1994 |
BGR
4 - 1
MDA
86%
10%
4%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |