Moldova vs Belarus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
36.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moldova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
TUR
2 - 0
MDA
90%
7%
2%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
CZE
5 - 0
MDA
95%
5%
1%
|
69 | 94 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
MDA
1 - 0
AUT
13%
19%
68%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
MDA
1 - 2
NED
4%
13%
83%
|
68 | 99 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
BLR
2 - 1
MDA
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Belarus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
BLR
1 - 3
CZE
15%
24%
61%
|
78 | 94 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
BLR
2 - 1
IRN
26%
24%
50%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
AUT
5 - 0
BLR
86%
10%
4%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
BLR
0 - 2
NED
5%
14%
81%
|
77 | 99 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
UZB
1 - 2
BLR
57%
21%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |