Mexico vs El Salvador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
17.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
15%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
14.1%
4.9%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
GTM
0 - 3
MEX
11%
18%
71%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
MEX
0 - 0
TTO
81%
14%
5%
|
91 | 66 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
MEX
4 - 0
NGA
70%
19%
11%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
MEX
3 - 0
PAN
77%
16%
7%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
MEX
0 - 0
HND
78%
15%
7%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
El Salvador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
TTO
0 - 2
SLV
41%
26%
34%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2021 |
SLV
2 - 0
GTM
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
SLV
0 - 1
QAT
23%
26%
52%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
SLV
0 - 0
GTM
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
SLV
2 - 0
KNA
75%
16%
9%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |