Mexico vs El Salvador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
17.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
13.6%
4.7%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
MEX
2 - 1
PAR
69%
20%
11%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
POR
2 - 1
MEX
47%
24%
29%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
GER
4 - 1
MEX
65%
19%
16%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
MEX
1 - 0
GHA
78%
16%
6%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
MEX
2 - 1
RUS
55%
23%
22%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
El Salvador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2017 |
ECU
3 - 0
SLV
85%
11%
4%
|
66 | 89 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
HND
2 - 2
SLV
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
CUW
1 - 1
SLV
12%
18%
71%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
SLV
1 - 0
NIC
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
PAN
1 - 0
SLV
65%
22%
13%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |