Mexico vs El Salvador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
5.9%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2000 |
USA
3 - 0
MEX
41%
27%
32%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2000 |
MEX
4 - 2
RSA
86%
10%
4%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2000 |
IRL
2 - 2
MEX
43%
27%
30%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2000 |
MEX
1 - 2
CAN
82%
13%
5%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2000 |
MEX
1 - 1
GTM
82%
13%
6%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
El Salvador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2000 |
SLV
1 - 1
GTM
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
BLZ
1 - 3
SLV
12%
21%
67%
|
72 | 38 | 34 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
GTM
0 - 1
SLV
64%
21%
16%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2000 |
SLV
3 - 1
HTI
44%
25%
32%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
SLV
5 - 0
BLZ
85%
11%
4%
|
70 | 38 | 32 | 0 |