Mexico vs El Salvador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
7.8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1996 |
JAM
1 - 0
MEX
18%
28%
54%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1996 |
MEX
3 - 1
HND
66%
21%
13%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1996 |
MEX
5 - 1
VCT
97%
3%
0%
|
90 | 36 | 54 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1996 |
ECU
1 - 0
MEX
30%
28%
42%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1996 |
MEX
2 - 1
JAM
72%
18%
9%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
El Salvador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1996 |
SLV
3 - 2
PAN
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
CAN
1 - 0
SLV
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1996 |
HND
1 - 1
SLV
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
PAN
1 - 1
SLV
42%
27%
32%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1996 |
GTM
1 - 2
SLV
55%
25%
21%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |