Mexico vs Senegal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
MEX
0 - 0
ECU
67%
20%
13%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
MEX
0 - 0
ISL
80%
14%
6%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
MEX
2 - 1
PRK
82%
13%
5%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
NZL
0 - 2
MEX
16%
24%
61%
|
93 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
MEX
5 - 0
BOL
75%
16%
9%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
GRC
0 - 2
SEN
68%
21%
12%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
KOR
2 - 0
SEN
65%
23%
13%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
CHN
0 - 0
SEN
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
ANG
1 - 1
SEN
36%
27%
37%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
COD
1 - 2
SEN
35%
28%
38%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |